Recent Posts
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Will AI Take my Job?
The argument over what artificial intelligence will do to jobs has produced more confusion than clarity. The debate is mostly based on predictions from assumptions, often based on unexamined and mostly biased prior beliefs.…
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Three Clocks Strike at Once
Political analysis today is entirely consumed by events: what the president said, which minister resigned, what the market did yesterday. These things matter, but looking at events misses the forces producing them. While our…
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Political Systems 101 from First Principles
People want things. There is not enough to satisfy everyone’s wants. People are capable of taking by force what they cannot have through agreement. Everything we call politics follows from that. A political system…
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The Irrational Rationality of Iran’s Strategy
What geography, history, and power constraints compel Tehran to do Iran’s regime is doing two things simultaneously that outside observers keep analyzing as one: fighting for regime survival against a convergence of threats it…
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The Unexpected Effect on AI from the War on Iran
On February 28, 2026, US and Israeli forces struck Iran. Most stories initially focused on the geopolitics and geoeconomics implications and the fallout from higher gasoline prices. However, within 72 hours, Iranian drones hit…
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Afghanistan–Pakistan: Conflict Over the Invisible Durand Line
THE SITUATION Pakistan has conducted sustained cross-border airstrikes inside Afghanistan since late February 2026 — the seventh airstrike campaign since the Taliban takeover in 2021, but the first to deliberately strike Kabul and major…
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Somaliland and the Horn of Africa
THE SITUATION On 26 December 2025, Israel became the first UN member state to formally recognize Somaliland after 34 years of de facto independence. Israel’s recognition injected the issue into active great power competition…
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The Hollow Man: Created in the image of Science
Contemporary western philosophy has increasingly been dominated by materialism, reductionism, and scientism. From this mindset emerges an approach that treats humans as objects. As atoms and cells without purpose or non-material aspect. At the…
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The Mamdani Moment
As the New York City Mayoral race comes to a close, a new political moment is born with the likely win of Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist who won the democratic party nomination earlier…
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